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| MVX
Implied Volatility Index |
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For
information on the MVX Implied Volatility Index,
click here. |
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New
Government of Canada Bond Options Class
Apart
from the different characteristics of the underlying
values, there is no significant difference between
stock and bond options. Stock options allow investors
to manage the risk of specific stocks or to profit
from price movements. Bond option strategies range
from hedging a bond portfolio to outright trading
based on expectations regarding interest rate
fluctuations.
Due to inverse relationship between the bond price
and yield, the buyer of a bond call option expects
a decline in interest rates and a rise in bond
prices. The buyer of a bond put option expects
interest rates to rise and bond prices to fall.
The Montréal Exchange has launched on June
23, a new Government of Canada bond option class:
5 1/4% June 2012 (symbol:
OBA).
This class will be replacing the old option class:
9% March 2011 (symbol: OBK).
Each bond option covers C$25,000 face value of
an issue of GoC bonds (criteria of eligibility:
outstanding issuance of C$500,000,000 at least)
with expiry months being three consecutive months
and the next month of the March, June, September
and December cycle. To calculate the total premium
for a bond option, we have to multiply the option
premium by the multiplier 250.
Using bond options allows hedgers to manage their
bond portfolios in a number of ways including:
lock-in the price of future bond purchase, protect
the value of debt portfolios, lock-in the cost
of future financing and hedge the cost of long-term
borrowing.
For speculators, bond options are flexible tools
that permit them to profit from their view on
future interest rate fluctuations with limited
risk.
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Strategy
Buying S&P Canada 60 Index Put Options
(SXO) to Hedge the Value of a Portfolio
>
SITUATION
Consider an investor with a diverse portfolio
of stock valued at $80,000. For illustration purposes,
lets assume that his basket of equities
replicates exactly each of the S&P/TSX 60
Index stocks, so the beta of the portfolio is
equal to 1. Thus, the options position will precisely
offset the losses on his basket of equities.
>
OBJECTIVE
The S&P/TSX 60 Index is at 395.00. Our investor
is bearish about the stock market; he may want
to consider the strategy of buying put options
as a form of insurance. The idea is straightforward:
for the price of the premium, the investor can
protect his portfolio against the risk associated
with a drop in the S&P/TSX 60 Index below
the level of the strike price. If the index remains
above this strike price, however, the exposure
to the market remains intact, but the premium
paid for the put will not be recovered.
>
STRATEGY
To achieve this objective, the hedger must base
the size of the option position on the size of
the exposure, using the following formula:
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Number
of contracts =
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Value
of the portfolio x beta
S&P/TSX
60 x 100
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Since
the portfolio exhibits a beta of 1, our investor
must buy 2 SXO put options (80,000 Þ 39,500 =
2.03 or 2 options). The SXO SEP 400 put options
are trading at $10.50. The total cost for the
protection is $2,100 ($10.50 x 2 x $100).
Note that this option is European style: the holder
can only exercise on its expiry date.
>
RESULTS
Scenario #1: the S&P/TSX 60 Index dropped
by 5% at the put options expiration in September.
The index opening level for settlement is 375.25.
The value of the portfolio dropped to $76,000
($80,000 5%). The investor exercises his
options and receives $4,950 [(400 375.25)
x 2 x $100], which offsets the loss on his portfolio.
Scenario #2: the S&P/TSX 60 Index dropped
by 10% at the put options expiration in
September.
The index opening level for settlement is 355.50
and the value of the portfolio dropped to $72,000
($80,000 10%). The investor exercises his
options and receives $8,900 [(400 355.50)
x 2 x $100], which offsets the loss on his portfolio.
Scenario #3: the S&P/TSX 60 Index increased
by 5% at the put options expiration in September.
Since the investors fears did not materialize,
the value of his portfolio dropped by the cost
for the protection bought, $2,100.
For many investors who seek price protection for
an equity portfolio, the up-front cost of a put
option may seem to be expensive. For these investors,
a collar offers an interesting alternative. A
collar entails the purchase of a put option with
the simultaneous sale of a call option with the
same expiry for a total cost near zero. The premium
received from the sale of the call option funds
the purchase of the put option.
The collar will thus have the effect of limiting
market exposure to a range bounded by the strike
price of the put at the lower end and the strike
price of the call at the higher end. The investor
limits his losses and gives up the profits from
favorable stock price fluctuations above the strike
price of the call option sold.
Transaction
fees, commissions and tax implications are not
considered in this example. These fees can influence
the final outcome of this strategy. Please contact
your broker for more information.
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Question
of the Month
On
June 26, the price of Biovail Corp went up by about
$5. Can you explain why the price of the July $70
calls dropped instead of going up?
This
is a very good example on how the volatility of
a stock affects the price of the options. Usually,
an increase in the price of the stock increases
the value of the call, but this is not always
the case in the real world due to other factors.
The most important one is implied volatility,
which represents the markets expectation
of the stocks future volatility and is reflected
by its option price. High implied volatility means
the market expects the stock to make large moves.
It also means high option premiums. So a change
in implied volatility will change the value of
an option. Lets look at the implied volatility
and the prices of the Biovail July $70 calls at
the end of June:
| June
24 |
BVF
Jul 70 Call |
Closed
$1.80-$2.05 |
Imp.
Vol. 70% |
| June
25 |
BVF
Jul 70 Call |
Closed
$1.40-$1.55 |
Imp.
Vol. 66% |
| June
26 |
BVF
Jul 70 Call |
Closed
$1.20-$1.45 |
Imp.
Vol. 40% |
Notice
the change of implied volatility between the 25
and the 26 of June. What happened? On June 26,
Biovail Corp announced that the FDA issued an
approval letter for an antidepressant, which was
under review for the treatment of major depressive
disorders. At the announcement, the implied volatility
of the Calls dropped as the price of the stock
went up. This means that the market had already
anticipated this move in the stock price, which
was reflected in a higher implied volatility before
the announcement. A decrease in the implied volatility
once the news came out decreased the value of
the Jul $70 calls. Since Biovail was trading at
around $66.50 that day, the $70 calls were out-of-the-money
and their price was composed entirely of time
value. With zero intrinsic value, the calls had
a very small delta, which wasnt enough to
prevent the options price from going down.
If
you have a question about options, please send
it to
options@m-x.ca.
Your question may be published in the next issue
of this newsletter.
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Key
Statistics - June 2003
| Contracts |
Volume
June 2003
|
Volume
Jan. June
2003
|
Volume
Jan.
June 2002
|
%
Change |
Interest
Rate Derivatives
|
881,234
|
5,043,605
|
3,337,653
|
51.1%
|
Index
Derivatives
|
309,018
|
913,669
|
724,481
|
26.1%
|
Equity
Derivatives
|
495,421
|
3,017,086
|
2,999,335
|
0.6%
|
| TOTAL
MARKET |
1,685,673
|
8,974,360
|
7,061,469
|
27.1%
|
| Contracts |
Open
Interest
June
2003
|
Open
Interest
June
2002
|
%
Change |
Interest
Rate Derivatives
|
341,006
|
249,698
|
36.6%
|
Index
Derivatives
|
138,286
|
97,782
|
41.4%
|
Equity
Derivatives
|
808,842
|
689,766
|
17.3%
|
| TOTAL
MARKET |
1,288,134
|
1,037,246
|
24.2%
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Canadian
Equity Options Market Trading Volume by Sector*
| Sectors |
Volume
June
03
|
Trade
Volume %
|
Volume
May
03
|
Change
Volume
June
- May 03
|
Average
Volume
per Sector |
Materials
|
67,269
|
13.58%
|
84,287
|
-20.19%
|
3,540
|
Industrials
|
84,585
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17.07%
|
78,175
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8.20%
|
10,573
|
Telecommunications
|
25,625
|
5.17%
|
34,470
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-25.66%
|
5,125
|
| Consumer
Discretionary |
6,967
|
1.41%
|
8,432
|
-17.37%
|
1,393
|
| Energy |
42,301
|
8.54%
|
49,953
|
15.32%
|
4,230
|
| Financials |
95,907
|
19.36%
|
87,973
|
9.02%
|
6,851
|
| Health |
11,468
|
2.31%
|
9,551
|
20.07%
|
2,867
|
| Technology |
150,098
|
30.30%
|
139,985
|
7.22%
|
16,678
|
| Utilities |
9,395
|
1.90%
|
10,398
|
-9.65%
|
3,132
|
| Consumer
Staples |
1,806
|
0.36%
|
2,508
|
-27.99%
|
602
|
| TOTAL |
495,421
|
100,00% |
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*
Sectors breakdowns are based on the S&P/TSX
indices
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Trading
Calendar
| August |
| S |
M |
T |
W |
T |
F |
S |
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1 |
2 |
| 3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| 10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
| 17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
| 24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
| 31 |
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| September |
| S |
M |
T |
W |
T |
F |
S |
| . |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
| 7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
| 14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| 21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
| 28 |
29 |
30 |
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August 4 (Civic Holiday)
Markets - closed
Offices regular schedule
August 14
Last trading day for index options
August 15
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Last
trading day for equity, bond
and exchange-traded fund options |
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Expiration
of index options |
August
16
Expiration of equity, bond
and exchange-traded fund options
September 1 (Labor Day)
Offices and markets - closed
September 18
Last trading day for index options
September 19
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Last
trading day for equity, bond and exchange-traded
fund options |
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Expiration
of index options |
September
20
Expiration of equity, bond and exchange-traded
fund options
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Warning
and disclaimer
This newsletter is sent to you on a general information
basis. The Montréal Exchange takes no responsibility
for revisions, errors and omissions. The financial
and economic data, including quotes and any analysis
or interpretation thereof are provided solely on
a information basis and shall not be considered
as a recommendation or financial advice with respect
to the purchase or sale of any security or derivative
instrument.
The Montréal Exchange, its directors, officers,
employees and agents will not be liable for damages,
losses or costs incurred as a result of the use
of any information appearing in this newsletter. |
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