H23-M23 Roll Update (CGZ, CGF, CGB & LGB)

First Notice day is February 27th for the March 2023 contracts so the roll should begin on February 21st and finish on or before the 23rd, leaving one day for cleaning up positions before any risk of delivery. The President's Day holiday in the USA and Family Day in Canada both occur on the 20th and will not influence the roll this quarter. The Bank of Canada has a rate announcement on March 8th, early in the delivery window.

READ ARTICLE

Related Articles

  • February 19, 2026
    Canadian bond futures H26/M26 analysis indicates that algorithmic models are driving open interest to near all-time highs following the mid-December reversal. With CORRA rates around 2.28%, early delivery remains rare, creating a clean roll environment with multiple opportunities. The 5-year point offers an attractive 14.4 bp annual rolldown, while contract-specific volatilities create distinct trading dynamics: CGB rolls remain stable, CGF shows 10.6% DV01 extension instability, and CGZ faces potential 2-cent intraday swings with 14.2% DV01 extension.
    February 2, 2026
    Futures markets, unlike most financial markets, can be predicted with high confidence by analyzing delivery basket formulas and interest rate trajectories. This 2026 forecast reviews anticipated basis levels, delivery dynamics, and trading trends for Canada's fixed income futures as central bank policies stabilize.