CORRA in 2024: A Year for Forests (Not Trees)

Fixed income managers often come in two broad types; those who focus on the macroeconomic perspective, or big picture, and those who focus on the minutia of relative value trading. Fortunately, different economic situations usually afford both types of manager ample opportunities although there are clearly "good times" for macro traders and "good times" to be a relative value trader. We suggest that 2024, due to the probable turn in monetary policy and the volatility associated with the end, or anticipated end, of a monetary policy cycle, will be a year where getting the big picture right is far more important than getting the details right.

READ ARTICLE

Related Articles

  • August 21, 2025
    September futures contracts face first notice August 29 and first delivery September 2, following the Labour Day holiday. The holiday timing prompts early roll trades as managers and dealers attempt to close September contracts ahead of schedule, creating optimal liquid roll dates between August 25 - 27. The holiday period typically creates more volatile roll pricing as market participation shifts. Additionally, futures have been trading rich to bonds since July, further complicating execution. Timing options will be active for CGZ and CGF contracts this quarter.
    August 13, 2025
    After a 43-basis-point tightening over 13 months, Canadian 5-year swap spreads are showing signs of stabilizing, opening up new opportunities in fixed-income markets. This tightening reflects changes in risk appetite, government bond issuance, and mortgage market hedging practices. While economic uncertainties persist, current spread levels suggest a potential for mean reversion, particularly when compared to historical trends. This market development provides tactical entry points for relative value strategies.